October 25-29, 2020

Oct 25 04:01 Joe Biden's senility struggles continue; Donald Trump's momentum surges
Oct 25 12:31 Closing in on Amy Coney-Barrett's confirmation vote

Oct 26 01:52 Donald Trump, Jason Lewis have caught Joe Biden, Tina Smith, the DFL

Oct 27 09:29 What Joe Biden's campaign stops tell us

Oct 28 00:57 Obama rallies crowd (?) in Orlando
Oct 28 06:22 Censorship in River City
Oct 28 22:35 Nate Silver's prediction problems

Oct 29 07:04 Cook Political Report's flawed electoral map
Oct 29 15:54 Donald Trump's monstrous crowds

Prior Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Prior Years: 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Joe Biden's senility struggles continue; Donald Trump's momentum surges

Donald Trump's momentum, which either started or accelerated Thursday night, isn't fading . He's working hard in his sprint to a second term. It's apparent that President Trump's momentum isn't subsiding.

Meanwhile, Joe Biden's senility difficulties continue . While campaigning in Pennsylvania, Biden said that "he's built ' the most extensive and inclusive voter fraud organization in the history of American politics: '"


Where that came from is anyone's guess. The sentence doesn't make sense. That's just part of the Democrats' problems. The Democrats' biggest problem is that Joe Biden told the world that he wants to end fracking:
[Video no longer available]
The Democrats' problem is that part of their party wants to get rid of fossil fuels. The other wing of the Democratic Party wants to work in those blue collar jobs. The Democrats are split on this issue.

Meanwhile, Republicans are uniting behind President Trump. Even some Never Trumpers are voting for President Trump. When Biden made the fracking statement, President Trump jumped all over that. Since then, Democrats have been on the defensive. There's still more than a week left in the campaign so there's still work to complete. At this point, though, I'd rather be in President Trump's situation.

Posted Sunday, October 25, 2020 4:01 AM

No comments.

Closing in on Amy Coney-Barrett's confirmation vote

Robert Reich, former Clinton administration Labor Secretary and current progressive whiner, is fighting a losing fight. In his op-ed , Reich writes "This is a travesty of democracy. The vote on Barrett's confirmation will occur just eight days before election day. By contrast, the Senate didn't even hold a hearing on Merrick Garland, who Barack Obama nominated almost a year before the end of his term. Majority leader Mitch McConnell argued at the time that any vote should wait 'until we have a new president.'"

This is sour grapes. Republicans held the majority in the Senate. They performed their constitutional responsibility of advise and consent by not holding a hearing for Judge Merrick Garland. The Constitution is clear on the issue of appointing judges and justices:
He shall have Power, by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, to make Treaties, provided two thirds of the Senators present concur; and he shall nominate, and by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, shall appoint Ambassadors, other public Ministers and Consuls, Judges of the supreme Court, and all other Officers of the United States, whose Appointments are not herein otherwise provided for, and which shall be established by Law: but the Congress may by Law vest the Appointment of such inferior Officers, as they think proper, in the President alone, in the Courts of Law, or in the Heads of Departments.

The Senate had the constitutional authority to reject Merrick Garland by not giving him a hearing or vote.
Barrett was nominated by a president who lost the popular vote by nearly 3m ballots, and who was impeached by the House of Representatives. When Barrett joins the court, five of the nine justices will have been appointed by presidents who lost the popular vote.

Again, this is sour grapes. First, the impeachment was a sham. Had it been tried in a trial court, it would've been dismissed by the judge for lack of evidence. The 'prosecutors' didn't present evidence during the trial. They provided uncorroborated hearsay testimony. Next, it's utterly irrelevant how the president got elected as long as the Constitution was followed. This is pure BS:
Barrett's confirmation is the culmination of years in which a shrinking and increasingly conservative, rural and white segment of the US population has been imposing its will on the rest of America. They've been bankrolled by big business, seeking lower taxes and fewer regulations.

Big business wants regulations to stifle competition and higher taxes to prevent competitors from capital formation. Small want lower taxes and fewer regulations because they want to form capital, which is then used to invest in their business. Big business has aligned with the elitist wing of the Democrats. When was the last time Facebook, Google and Twitter bankroll the campaign to confirm a conservative judge?
In the event Joe Biden becomes president on 20 January and both houses of Congress come under control of the Democrats, they can reverse this trend. It may be the last chance - both for the Democrats and, more importantly, for American democracy. How?

For starters, increase the size of the supreme court. The constitution says nothing about the number of justices. The court changed size seven times in its first 80 years, from as few as five justices under John Adams to 10 under Abraham Lincoln.

The Supreme Court has had 9 members since 1869. That means they finally figured out what works best. Then they stuck with it.
Biden says if elected he'll create a bipartisan commission to study a possible court overhaul "because it's getting out of whack". That's fine, but he'll need to move quickly. The window of opportunity could close by the 2022 midterm elections.

The judiciary isn't out of whack. It's just that Democrats don't like the composition of the Court. If you want to change the composition, they need to win more races. Elections have consequences. BTW, thinking that Joe moving fast isn't high after watching this:
[Video no longer available]
I'm not sure he's capable of moving purposefully at this point.

Posted Sunday, October 25, 2020 12:31 PM

Comment 1 by Chad Q at 26-Oct-20 05:18 PM
How does this guy get taken seriously when he spouts about not getting the majority of the popular vote? I assumed wrong that teaching took a turn for the worse only 20 years ago but based on Reich's lack of understanding of a representative republic and the electoral college, it was long before that.

As for the notorious ACB and her being seated on the Supreme Court, he and the rest of the progressives have no one to blame but Harry Reid. I think I'll send Harry a thank you card tonight.

Comment 2 by eric z at 27-Oct-20 12:33 PM
Chad, you might include the Clintons and Wasserman Schultz in there with Reid. Absent the Hillary-Podesta campaigning and Debbie's DNC shenanigans, who'd have nominated somebody? It would have been Bernie.

Response 2.1 by Gary Gross at 28-Oct-20 12:50 AM
Don't forget to include Schumer himself, too. Mitch warned him in 2013 that it'd return to bite him. In 2020, it bit him HARD.

Donald Trump, Jason Lewis have caught Joe Biden, Tina Smith, the DFL

It's looking more and more like the unthinkable will finally happen this year. To Minnesotans, the unthinkable is defined as a Republican presidential candidate winning Minnesota's 10 electoral votes. The unthinkable might just have company in the form of the impossible. In Minnesota, the impossible is defined as a Minnesotan winning a statewide race.

Apparently, both things are possible this year. President Trump is well-positioned to flip Minnesota from blue to red. Further, Jason Lewis is finishing fast , making it very possible for Lewis to Trump Tina Smith on the strength of standing with the police. In Lewis' case, it isn't a matter of following President Trump's lead. Jason Lewis' wife is a retired police officer.

What's making this possible are 2 forgettable Democrat candidates (Joe Biden, Tina Smith), 2 solid GOP candidates (President Trump, Jason Lewis) and a great GOP GOTV. President Trump and Jason Lewis are enthusiastically pro-mining and stoutheartedly pro-law enforcement. With a week left in the campaign, GOP momentum is surging while Democrats stay in hiding.
[Video no longer available]
Tina Smith has shied away from debates, only competing in 1 virtual debate. Joe Biden visited Minnesota once (Hermantown, just south of Duluth). When Biden visited, he did the impossible when he shut out the local media, which generated lots of negative local press. He visited a union training center, where Biden had a captive audience of about a dozen trainees.

That same night, President Trump rallied in front of "a crowd of thousands at the Bemidji Regional Airport for a campaign rally." A crowd of thousands to a Biden rally is beyond unthinkable. I don't think it's happened this campaign season.

Tina Smith and Joe Biden should worry about this :
But Republicans have to worry about Biden's enormous lead in urban areas, 64% to 28%, and his 48% to 42% lead in suburbs. Trump's 53% to 36% lead in rural areas of northern, western and southern Minnesota might not be enough to offset the Biden advantage in the metro area.

A Democrat that isn't leading by 40+ points in the Twin Cities is hurting. Further, a Democrat running about even in the suburbs is in trouble. Law and order is the predominant issue in the suburbs. It's also where many shy Trump voters live.

The momentum is clearly on Republicans' sides going into the final week campaign. The biggest question is who closes stronger.

Posted Monday, October 26, 2020 1:52 AM

Comment 1 by eric z at 27-Oct-20 12:24 PM
I'd be the last person to say Tina Smith could not be beaten at the polls from a hospital bed. Just not Jason Lewis' hospital bed.

And, "shy Trump voters?" If I'd have voted for that windbag, I'd be shy about it too.

What Joe Biden's campaign stops tell us

Joe Biden's campaign stops tell us who he's targeting and who isn't important to him . Monday, Biden made a hastily-arranged trip into Pennsylvania. It was a short car trip from his home. Tuesday, he's heading to Atlanta. He's making a single trip to Iowa, too. In other words, he isn't visiting Blue Collar America, the sections that President Trump flipped in winning Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Biden is still fighting to limit the damage of his fracking flip-flop:
"I'm not shutting down oil fields, I'm not eliminating fracking. I'm investing in clean energy and I'm going to make sure that we don't continue to subsidize the oil companies," Biden told reporters on Monday as he made a campaign stop in Chester, Pennsylvania, just a short drive from his home in Wilmington, Delaware.

Years ago, Michael Kinsley said that "A gaffe is when a politician tells the truth - some obvious truth he isn't supposed to say." This is Joe Biden's biggest gaffe. Biden is doing his best to limit the damage of his gaffe in the hopes he hasn't killed his presidential hopes.

Steve Kornacki thinks that President Trump is playing defense this cycle:
[Video no longer available]
In the sense that he's hoping to hold all of the states he won in 2016, that's technically true. Then again, all presidents running for re-election are playing a bit of defense. Kornacki thinks that all polls should be averaged together. With that, I vehemently disagree. Many of the media polls have been utterly worthless. I don't want those junk polls in the mix. I only want polls that've figured out how to identify hidden Trump voters. If they haven't figured that out, then they're worthless.

Polls that have figured this out are Insider Advantage, Susquehanna and Trafalgar Group. Those polls show President Trump leading. I don't pay attention to those polls because Trump's leading. I pay attention because they've figured things out.

Joe Biden's visits indicate that he isn't trying to win back blue collar workers in battleground states. That's a major mistake.

Posted Tuesday, October 27, 2020 9:29 AM

Comment 1 by eric z at 27-Oct-20 12:22 PM
Wind turbines and solar. End fracking the creative way. The jobs will follow the capital commitment to reform. Clean energy is good energy. Koch free energy is good energy. That reform will make the air better. The climate will smile.

Last, "hidden Trump voters?" If I were to have voted for that windbag, I'd hide too.

Response 1.1 by Gary Gross at 28-Oct-20 12:48 AM
To me, clean energy = natural gas & nuclear. As for renewables, they're fine niche fuels but they aren't for manufacturing.

Comment 2 by Chad Q at 27-Oct-20 05:26 PM
We will never be free of oil and gas because wind and solar will never produce enough energy Well unless we want to lower our standard of living which is exactly what the progressives want to do, make everyone equally miserable.

Obama rallies crowd (?) in Orlando

Former President Barack Obama rallied 273 cars in Orlando this morning . Appearing on FNC's Outnumbered, former Reagan Education Secretary Bill Bennett said that President Obama's crowd went back "as far as the arm could stretch." By comparison, there are twice as many people in a single section of stands at a Trump rally than there are in an entire Obama rally.

President Obama scolded the nation for electing President Trump, saying he didn't expect President Trump to follow his policies, then saying that he'd hoped he'd take the job seriously. That's a breathtakingly dishonest statement, especially coming from a former president. The Trump administration has negotiated more peace deals involving Israel in the past 3 months than all previous US presidents did combined. President Trump and the GOP Senate have appointed and confirmed 250 judges and 3 Supreme Court justices.

Does President Obama think that sounds like an unserious man? I don't think that. President Obama is fighting for what little is left of his limited legacy. A Trump re-election would wipe out President Obama's legacy and put smiles on people's faces. I had the opportunity to watch this speech live:
[Video no longer available]
I'm thankful I opted not to watch. President Trump's list of accomplishments is lengthy, covers multiple subjects and won't be undone anytime soon.
Emma Trittin, a University of Central Florida senior, said her age group of 18-29-year-olds was coming out in force this year, with more than 400,000 voting early. "I think Floridians are really fed up with how the past four years have gone with the Trump administration," she said. "Youth are really stepping up and voting because they know that they have power in their voice."

Ms. Trittin is ill-informed. According to pollsters Matt Towery of Insider Advantage and John Cahaly of the Trafalgar Group, people in the 30-44 age group have moved towards President Trump since last Thursday's presidential debate. They attribute the exodus to Biden's lockdown language.

Posted Wednesday, October 28, 2020 12:57 AM

Comment 1 by Chad Q at 28-Oct-20 06:25 PM
Sans covid Ms. Trittin, what exactly do you not like about the last 4 years? Job opportunities, prosperity, low fuel prices, etc. Can't blame this administration for the riots and looting because they had nothing to do with 30 - 100 years of democrat "leadership" in those cities that allowed and in some instances encouraged the riots and looting. Maybe your white privilege has not allowed you to see the truth.

Censorship in River City

Censorship right here in River City?

By John W. Palmer

"There is no greater agony than bearing an untold story inside you.' -- MAYA ANGELOU

By ignoring the much given advice to not enter into a dispute with an organization that buys ink by the barrel, the author knows he may suffer at the hands of the ink buyers.

Facebook and Twitter are doing it. The New York Times and the Washington Post do it. Most of the cable news networks do it. The 'it' is censorship by omission. A few hot off the press stories are offered as examples in the next few paragraphs. Then a developing story that has no final chapter will conclude this story.
From the Powerline Blog POSTED ON OCTOBER 25, 2020 BY SCOTT JOHNSON titled IN MOVIES:
I watched the film (The Plot Against the President: The True Story of How Congressman Devin Nunes Uncovered the Biggest Political Scandal in US History)
on Amazon Prime last week. I gave it a five-star rating and wrote the following review: When I sought to post my review, it was rejected with the following notice:

'We apologize but Amazon is not accepting reviews on this product from this account.' I have written Amazon to ask why.

From the Washington Examiner The big Trump rallies you don't see by Byron York, Chief Political Correspondent | | October 25, 2020 07:36 PM

WASHINGTON, Pennsylvania - "I can't believe there aren't any newspeople here," said Linda of Greene County, Pennsylvania, as she stood among hundreds of cars and
pickup trucks idling in long parallel lines in a vast big-box-store parking lot Saturday, waiting to join the Interstate 70 Trump Train. Indeed, although there were carloads of Trump supporters as far as one could see, and many more on the way from Ohio and West Virginia, and this enormous political event was happening less than two weeks before the presidential election, as far as I could tell, I was the only newsperson there.

Early this month an advertisement began running on KYES a radio station owned by the Catholic diocese of St. Cloud. The ad was designed to convince listeners that former Vice President Joe Biden was a faithful Catholic. Knowing that you can not be a faithful Catholic and be pro abortion, pro gay marriage, and a supporter of the transgender movement, I contacted the manager of KYES to lodge a complaint. Here is what I wrote:
Truth is a core value that KYES was founded upon. The ad you are running on behalf of disobedient "Catholic" presidential candidate Joe Biden is deceptive. VP Biden's support of abortion on demand, homosexual "marriage" and gender fluidity are mortal sins. In order for the sacrament of reconciliation to be effective, the sinner must promise to avoid sinning in the future. Biden's behavior is consistently sinful. When KYES runs the false ad you provide material support for Biden's sins.

My wife, Ellen, and I have been longtime listeners and financial supporters of KYES. Unless you pull the false ad we will no longer provide financial support or verbal support for KYES. We have stopped listening to KYES, we will continue to listen to Relevant Radio via the internet, to avoid hearing the offensive ad. Please advise us if you pull the ad.

What follows are the messages exchanged between the station manager and myself beginning with the initial response to what I wrote:
Hi John,
Thank you so much for sharing your concerns regarding the 'Biden for President' ads. Even though I agree with you K-yes is regulated by the Federal Government.
Due to Federal government mandates, K-yes is required by law to carry advertising for political candidates running for federal office. The views expressed in these advertisements are not necessarily those of K-yes or Relevant Radio or its sponsors, and may not reflect the teachings of the Catholic Church. Please continue to pray for our Church and our Nation!
God Bless.

My response:
How about running that disclaimer (The views expressed in these advertisements are not necessarily those of K-yes or Relevant Radio or its sponsors, and may not reflect the teachings of the Catholic Church.) when the ad runs?

The station did run the disclaimer but I continued to hear concern that Presidential candidate Biden was trying to pass as faithful Catholic and that Spirit 92 was also running the offensive ad. Both Spirit 92 and KYES overlap with the St. Cloud Times market area I decided to write this letter to the St. Cloud Times:

With over 70% of Minnesotans self identifying as Christians and the largest single denomination is Catholic. https://www.minnpost.com/data/2015/12/how-religious-areminnesotans/ and with the Catholic diocese surrounding St. Cloud having a combined Catholic population of over 133,000. http://stcdio.org/about/facts_about_the_diocese/

Thought the St. Cloud Times you'd be eager to run a letter to the editor that addressed Christian and Catholic readers. Far from being eager to run the letter to the editor what I got back was a run around and no specific answer to a simple question. The letter to the editor was submitted to the Times on Monday October 12th. The deception Biden ad had already been running for a week in the St. Cloud listing area. When no answer acknowledging receipt of the letter to the editor arrived the letter was resubmitted with the follow message on Wednesday Oct 14th:
Since I have not heard from you I am sending this email that includes the letter with documentation. The documentation included but it is offered as proof of accuracy and is not part of the letter.

The letter:
Presidential candidate, Joe Biden, asks us to respect his religious views even when his actions are contrary to the teaching of the faith he claims to follow. Why should you respect someone who claims one thing and does another?

Joe Biden claims to be Catholic. However, one of the fundamental teachings of the Catholic faith is that all human life is precious and to enable the taking of human life is always a mortal sin. Biden wants Congress to pass a law to extend the court decision that legalized abortion and make legal abortion 'the law of the land.'* He even wants to force you and me to be complicit in abortion by making us fund abortions with our tax dollars.

Joe Biden's consistent support of abortion and his intention to force taxpayers to financial support abortion places him in the category of unrepentant sinner. For an unrepentant sinner to claim he is a faithful believer (bearing false witness) compounds their sinful status.

In order for us to respect Joe Biden's religious views he needs to do what Jesus taught sinners to do. He needs to repent his sin, and sin no more. Until candidate Biden declares his sin and his desire to sin no more (an unlikely possibility) our nation's unborn children lives will be in grave danger. Fortunately for our nation we have a strong pro-life candidate.

We will be voting for that candidate.
Sincerely, John and Ellen Palmer

________________________________________
*Documentation: Biden called on Congress to make abortion 'the law of the land' in a speech to Planned Parenthood, June 22, 2019 and again in a NBC town hall
meeting on Oct. 5, 2020. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-roe-v-wade-lawland-supreme-court-supporters/ He stated his support for taxpayer funding of abortion in the 2019 Planned Parenthood speech and at an event in Atlanta June 6, 2019 https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/07/joe-biden-says-he-now-supports-federalfunding-of-abortion.html

This is the response received on October 15th:
Hello,
Thank you for submitting your letter to the St. Cloud Times. Your letter has been added to the queue, and we will let you know if we plan to publish it.

Here is my response sent October 15th:
Thank you. FYI I have surgery Thursday to remove a subdermal hematoma located between the protective membrane of the brain and my skull. I share this so you know that in the next few days my wife and I will not be able to respond to your question(s) about our letter. I hope this will not prevent your publication of our letter in a timely manner.

Sent on October 19th:
My surgery went well and I have been home recuperating since Sat afternoon. I have not see my LTE in the paper and I wonder how much the LTE has moved up in the queue. I have noticed serval LTE have been published on parallel matters to my LTE and in today's electronic version of the paper Dr. VanBuren had a column on a related topic to my LTE. When do you think my letter will be published?

Time's response on October 20th:
Hi John,
I'm glad to hear you're doing well. Your letter is still in the queue. This week and next week will be dedicated to local and state endorsement letters.

My October 20th response:
Does this mean the letter will not appear before the election?

Time's Response:
I'm going to try to fit as many election-related letters as possible into next Sunday's edition, so I can let you know next week.

My Response October 25th:
I notice my letter did not get published today and you said you would let me know next week. It is next week and with only a week before the election I need to know when or if you are going to publish my letter.

Time's Response October 25th:
The plan right now is to get all election letters published on Sunday. I can let you know if that changes.

You now have my story. We might have a case of censorship by omission right here in St. Cloud. Your guess is as good as mine concerning publication of the letter. My wife half joking said the Times won't run a LTE from us because you have been a victim of the cancel culture. Your guess can be noted by making a comment to this posting after the election I will let you know what happened.

Posted Wednesday, October 28, 2020 6:22 AM

Comment 1 by John Palmer at 28-Oct-20 08:58 PM
My wife was wrong and I am surprised that the Times will publish the letter Thursday. Persistence was rewarded.

Comment 2 by Gretchen Leisen at 28-Oct-20 10:04 PM
I hope this will come to pass. I will be checking my SCTimes tomorrow morning.

Comment 3 by eric z at 30-Oct-20 05:15 PM
Why should I care whether other Catholics think Joe Biden is not a good Catholic? Why should I care whether Joe Biden is a practicing Catholic in all dogmatic directions?

He's not running for Pope.

Nate Silver's prediction problems

In his latest article , Nate Silver wrote "So here's a question we can ask with our nifty scenario generator. Is Pennsylvania a must-win for Biden? No, not quite. It is close to being a must-win for Trump, who has only a 2 percent chance of winning the Electoral College if he loses Pennsylvania. Biden, however, has a bit more margin for error. He'd have a 30 percent chance if he lost Pennsylvania, which isn't great but is also higher than, say, Trump's overall chances on Election Day 2016."

I don't have the statistical models that Silver has. Silver isn't some genius that walks on water, though. They got it wrong in 2016. I still remember Brit Hume on the FNC set flipping through betting websites talking about how they were changing as more states fell into the Trump column. Hume also noted after North Carolina was called that 538 changed its odds of Trump winning. But I digress.

Let's apply some old-fashioned common sense to this election. It's well-documented that virtually nobody (of any political stripe) is interested in Joe Biden. He's drawn crowds of dozens of cars to his drive-by rallies. President Obama campaigned for him yesterday and drew 273 cars in Orlando Florida. President Trump held 3 rallies yesterday that attracted almost 50,000 in Omaha, NE:


By now, nearly 70,000,000 votes have been cast early. The previous record was in 2016 with 58,000,000 ballots cast early. When early voting closes, it's possible that 80,000,000 ballots will be cast early. Some of the people will have stood in line 3-4 hours to vote. COVID is certainly changing those numbers. People are voting against President Trump, too. The average person attending a Biden-Harris-Obama rally has to stand in line 2-3 minutes maximum. How likely is it that they'll suddenly stand in line 3-4 hours for a candidate that nobody's that interested in?

By comparison, Trump rally attendees are used to waiting 3-4 hours to get in. How likely is it that they'd stand in line for hours to vote for President Trump? I'd put it at 'very high'. It isn't a stretch to think that the polls are off by a country mile. The ABC-Washington Post poll that shows Biden leading Trump by 17 points in Wisconsin isn't a bad snapshot. It's intentionally dishonest. Newt explains things beautifully here:
[Video no longer available]
In this article , Newt explains what's happening in Georgia:
Gingrich, who represented Georgia's 6th District for 20 years in the U.S. House, told host Bill Hemmer that he is confident Trump will take the state by at least six percentage points. The current RealClearPolitics polling average shows the president and Democrat Joe Biden in a dead heat, with each receiving 47.2%.

However, Gingrich admitted "the state has changed a great deal" in the 21 years since he left office. "It's more cosmopolitan and suburban," he told Hemmer. "There is a fantasy that this is the time the Democrats will win. My guess is Trump will carry Georgia by six or seven ... The turnout on the Republican side will be bigger than people expect."

Gingrich also predicted that incumbent Sen. David Perdue, R-Ga., will ward off his challenge from former House candidate Jon Ossoff, while the other, more crowded Senate race will go to a January runoff that will be won by the Republican candidate.

It's time for Republicans to stop wondering if President Trump will win. He will. The next thing is to work hard to give President Trump a unified GOP Capitol Hill. If that happens, which I think is likely, we'll have a fantastic next 4+ years.

Posted Wednesday, October 28, 2020 10:35 PM

No comments.

Cook Political Report's flawed electoral map

Saying that the Cook Political Report electoral map is warped is understatement. It's as accurate as the ABC-Washington Post poll that says Joe Biden will win Wisconsin by 17 points. According to Amy Walter's article, "Less than a week out from Election Day and President Donald Trump is playing catch-up. In 2016, he won 30 states (and Maine's 2nd Congressional District) and their 306 electoral votes. Today, just 20 states, worth 125 electoral votes, are safely in his column. Former Vice President Joe Biden is holding 24 states worth 290 electoral votes in his column."

According to Walter, this race is over. I can't wait to watch her eat a full plate of crow a week from Friday. As much as I disagree with this electoral map, this isn't what worries me most. This is:
To win the election, Trump will need to win every state we currently have in the Toss Up column: Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Maine's 2nd CD , as well as the newest addition, Texas . Even then, Trump would be 22 electoral votes short of 270.

Texas isn't a toss-up. Last night, Karl Rove was interviewed by Hannity. Though I don't trust him on policy, I trust Rove's understanding of Texas politics. It's where he grew up. It's where he still lives. He knows Texas like Newt knows Georgia and Chuck Grassley knows Iowa. Mr. Rove said that Texas is part of the red column, partly because Biden isn't investing in the state.

It's worth noting that Dan Crenshaw has worked hard in cultvating minority talent for Republicans. It's paying off down-ticket. Every 4 years, Democrats promise that this is the year they'll pull off the Texas upset. This isn't that year. Again. Republicans need to keep working through Election Day because so much is at stake. We need to re-elect President Trump. Let's expand our GOP majority in the Senate. Let's finally retire Nancy Pelosi and retake our majority in the House. Finally, let's elect lots of new Republicans to state legislatures nationwide.

Let's make America great again.
[Video no longer available]

Posted Thursday, October 29, 2020 7:04 AM

No comments.

Donald Trump's monstrous crowds

It's becoming obvious that President Trump's crowds are getting bigger or they're staying the same. Whether he's campaigning in Lansing, MI, Goodyear, AZ or Omaha, NE, the people turn out. During his presidency, President Trump would try to do a rally about every other week. It was common knowledge that there were people that would follow him from place-to-place. That helped inflate the attendance numbers a little .

That isn't happening anymore. At the start of this week, President Trump made 3 campaign stops in Pennsylvania. On Tuesday, he campaigned in Michigan, Wisconsin and Omaha, NE. He made campaign appearences in Bullhead City, AZ:


then Goodyear, AZ:


The day before the Arizona rallies, Omaha's rally was gigantic:


This picture of Biden's Soul of the Nation rally in Coconut Creek, FL says everything:

To steal a phrase that former Education Secretary Bill Bennett coined, the crowd at the Biden rally "went on for as far as the arm could stretch." The statistics from the Trump rallies show that President Trump's base is expanding. The number of people who weren't Republicans that attended the rallies exceeded 30,200 people. Both states have large Hispanic populations so it isn't a stretch to think that 20,000-25,000 of those that weren't Republicans are Hispanics.

This isn't a base election. This is a wave election. Specifically, there's a red wave heading the Democrats' direction. Happy days will soon be here again.

Posted Thursday, October 29, 2020 3:54 PM

Comment 1 by eric z at 30-Oct-20 05:07 PM
Wow! Red Wave! Surf's Up!

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March 21-24, 2016

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Mar 21 01:28 SCSU's budget cuts? Mar 21 02:29 When will the Range change? Mar 21 08:54 DFL's Marty in charge of environment Mar 21 11:45 OLA report, DFL & Meyer Associates Mar 23 12:48 Liberals' definition of moderate Mar 23 14:37 DFL activists: Government is racist Mar 24 08:59 IRRRB: Revamping vs. scrapping Prior Months: Jan Feb Prior Years: 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 SCSU's budget cuts? Cuts in Athletics at SCSU - Will it Really Save Money? by Silence Dogood With a $6,000,000 "structural deficit" and the need to "rebuild reserves by at least $3 million," SCSU has a $9,000,000 hole in its' FY17 budget. It doesn't take a Noble Prize in economics to figure out that reductions in expenditures (i.e., cuts) are going to be made at SCSU. On the Wednesday before Spring Break, SCSU President Dr. Earl H. Potter sent an email to the campus community announcing cuts to the athlet
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