October 21-24, 2020

Oct 21 03:27 Why is Collin Peterson voting with Nancy Pelosi this often?
Oct 21 14:12 Donald Trump's, RNC's ground game vs. Joe Biden's, DNC's air war
Oct 21 16:46 The power of President Trump's rallies

Oct 22 07:35 The Hunter Biden plot thickens
Oct 22 11:12 Joe Biden's day of reckoning?

Oct 24 05:48 Joe Biden vs. Joe Biden
Oct 24 11:30 Marc Thiessen: Donald Trump cleaned Joe Biden's clock on racial issues
Oct 24 17:35 Today 's GOP Chairwoman rally report

Prior Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Prior Years: 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019



Why is Collin Peterson voting with Nancy Pelosi this often?


According to the Star Tribune's endorsement editorial , Collin Peterson deserves to get re-elected. According to the Strib, Democrat Collin Peterson should be re-elected because "voters need a representative with the Washington savvy and clout to protect their distinctive interests. They have that in 15-term incumbent Democrat Rep. Collin Peterson."

Further, the Strib Editorial Board wrote "Effective representation in the U.S. House is important to all 435 congressional districts across America. But sound and attentive federal policy is particularly vital to rural economies and communities, whose needs often are not well understood in urban America. As a result, no part of Minnesota has more at stake in choosing a House member than the sprawling and fertile Seventh District bordering the Dakotas, one of the most agriculturally focused districts in America."

There's little doubt that Peterson knows his district. There's growing doubt that he votes his district anymore. Check this chart out:

It isn't difficult making the case that voting with Pelosi 58% of the time is voting with the district. Voting with Nancy Pelosi, the quintessential San Francisco liberal, 82% of the time isn't the definition of voting for rural Minnesota's values.
Experienced, knowledgeable and well-known across the district, Fischbach, 54, is running a spirited campaign focused on criticizing Peterson's alignment with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and on looking forward to rural Minnesota's future needs, such as broadband and value-added agriculture.

As Peterson votes more often with Pelosi, she hasn't reciprocated. In the midst of impeachment, when Pelosi agreed to the USMCA, Pelosi had Angie Craig and Dean Phillips front and center on stage. Collin Peterson was nowhere to be found, a major snub for a trade deal that will benefit farmers. Apparently, the affection only runs one direction.

Posted Wednesday, October 21, 2020 3:27 AM

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Donald Trump's, RNC's ground game vs. Joe Biden's, DNC's air war


This article highlights the matchup of the final 2 weeks of the presidential campaign. The article starts by saying "Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden had nearly three times as much cash in his campaign coffers than President Trump at the start of this month, according to the latest fundraising filings from both major party nominees." Next, it says "The former vice president's campaign had more than $177 million cash on hand as of Sept. 30, according to a filing with the Federal Election Commission on Tuesday evening. Trump's reelection campaign reported $63.1 million in the bank."

The Trump volunteer army numbers 2,500,000. That's the biggest volunteer army in the history of US politics. They've made over 130,000,000 voter contacts thus far. The article doesn't talk about the power of President Trump's rallies or the importance of a compelling message. It also didn't talk about the lazy campaign that former Vice President Biden has run.
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This segment of The Story highlights the Trafalgar Group's polling. What's important is that Trafalgar doesn't use the same methods as the network polling. It's worth noting that the network polling in 2016 was virtually worthless. Trafalgar's was very accurate. Trafalgar correctly identified the hidden Trump voters in 2016 that the networks didn't. But I digress.

President Trump was outspent by Hillary 4 years ago. Thankfully, there never was a Hillary administration. What Trump had going for him were his rallies and the RNC GOTV effort. After his election, President Trump installed Ronna McDaniel as RNC Chairperson. That was a brilliant decision. He also started recruiting volunteers for his 2020 campaign. Thanks to these decisions, President Trump started putting together a GOTV operation that's unprecedented.

All the pundits complaining about the mistakes that President Trump is supposedly making will find out Election Night that they're wrong again. President Trump's understanding of the American people is unsurpassed. When President Trump goes after Hunter Biden's corruption, what he's actually doing is draining the Swamp. That's one of his core promises. Promises made, promises kept. They'll never learn.

In his final address from the Oval Office, Ronald Reagan said that he never won a victory that the American people didn't win for him first. President Trump is the leader of this populist movement but he didn't start the movement. Trusting him is the equivalent of trusting the movement he's leading to victory.

I trust President Trump's instincts. You should, too.

Posted Wednesday, October 21, 2020 2:12 PM

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The power of President Trump's rallies


Paul Bedard's article is another in a lengthy list of articles that dig beneath the numbers put forth by the polls. That's why it's such worthwhile reading. Paul's article starts by saying "In the 13 reelection events since returning to the campaign trail following his COVID-19 diagnosis, President Trump has attracted more than 167,000 rally goers, many of them first-time voters and even more who are not Republicans." That's an average of almost 13,000 people per event.

It continues, saying "According to GOP rally data posted by Republican Party Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, the Trump airport campaign events strongly suggest that he is building out his base and that media reports the president is only talking to his core constituency are wrong." I'm perfectly content if the MSM thinks that this is a fight of the Democrats' base vs. the Republicans' base. That isn't the match-up that's happening. That's why most of the polls are wrong. On November 3, the MSM will be wrong again. Here's what RNC Chairperson Ronna McDaniel tweeted recently:


The thing that's worth paying attention to is the fact that one-fourth of the people at the Trump rally in Sanford didn't vote in 2016. The question that hasn't gotten asked is this: why were they activated to vote in 2020? One-seventh of the people at the Trump rally in Sanford haven't voted since 2010. Why are they voting now? This video featuring CNBC's Steve Kornacki is definitely worth watching:
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Don't trust the polls. They're as worthless as the initial COVID models were. Between the new voters registering and true moderate Democrats voting for Trump, this election has a shot at being a pretty good year for Republicans nationwide.

Posted Wednesday, October 21, 2020 4:46 PM

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The Hunter Biden plot thickens


The Hunter Biden plot thickened . It thickened when it was reported that the "laptop and hard drive" was connected "with a money laundering investigation in late 2019," thus raising a new set of questions for the Bidens.

Fox News reported that "multiple federal law enforcement officials, as well as two separate government officials, confirmed the authenticity of these documents, which were signed by FBI Special Agent Joshua Wilson. Wilson did not immediately respond to Fox News' request for comment. One of the documents, obtained by Fox News, was designated as an FBI 'Receipt for Property' form, which details the bureau's interactions with John Paul Mac Isaac, the owner of 'The Mac Shop' who reported the laptop's contents to authorities." Then there's this:
The document has a "Case ID" section, which is filled in with a hand-written number: 272D-BA-3065729.

According to Dan Bongino, "272 is the 3-digit FBI code for money laundering, D means transnational."
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The sound quality isn't the greatest but it's ok. Bongino's debate idea is a little unusual but it's on the right track. Joe Biden wouldn't know how to handlle it. If Biden insists that it's a smear designed to ruin his family, President Trump can then ask if Biden thinks that the FBI field office is into smearing presidential candidates. At that point, what does Biden say? That's the typical heads-I-win-tails-you-lose situation. This complicates things even more for Biden:

That's a grand jury subpoena. How does Biden explain that away? Answer: he can't. The other question left is whether the MSM will continue protecting him with their silence. I don't think they can at that point.

Posted Thursday, October 22, 2020 7:35 AM

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Joe Biden's day of reckoning?


One sign after another points to the belief that today is the last day of the Joe Biden/MSM wall of silence regarding Hunter Biden's apparently nefarious international dealings. This article demolishes part of Joe Biden's story that he never talked with Hunter about Hunter's business deals. This article highlights Joe Biden's business dealings.

Let's start with the first article first. It says "A man who describes himself as a former business partner of Hunter Biden says he heard him and his father, Joe Biden, discuss his dealings with a mysterious Chinese energy firm in 2017 and that the former vice president was due to receive a share of the profits. Tony Bobulinski issued a statement on Wednesday saying that he personally witnessed Biden discuss business deals with his son, Hunter, contradicting claims by the former vice president. 'I've seen Vice President Biden saying he never talked to Hunter about his business.'" Then Bobulinski said this:
I've seen firsthand that that's not true, because it wasn't just Hunter's business, they said they were putting the Biden family name and its legacy on the line.

Next, let's look at Michael Goodwin's article:
One of Joe Biden's ways of contrasting himself with President Trump has been to declare the election a battle of Park Avenue values vs. Scranton, Pa., values. Now we learn that Biden has secretly been playing footsie with China.

The statement Wednesday night asserting that the former vice president was a willing and eager participant in a family scheme to make millions of dollars by partnering with a shady Chinese Communist firm is a singular event in a presidential race already overflowing with drama and intrigue.

The dynamite assertion, believable because it aligns with earlier information we know to be true, came in a statement by Tony Bobulinski, who describes himself as a former partner of Hunter Biden, Joe Biden and Joe's brother Jim in the China scheme.

Each day, more information gets verified:
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This isn't what Joe Biden wanted included the final 2 weeks of the presidential campaign. It's his worst nightmare.

Posted Thursday, October 22, 2020 11:12 AM

Comment 1 by eric z at 23-Oct-20 09:20 AM
And the world is to believe Tony Bobulinski because ________________________(fill in the blank). Is the guy somebody Rudy found? Come on -------------

Comment 2 by Chad Q at 25-Oct-20 08:37 AM
If Adam Schiff says it's Russian propaganda then you know it has to be true.


Joe Biden vs. Joe Biden


I didn't need the transcript of last night's presidential debate to know that Joe Biden flip-flopped on the issue of fracking. That was totally obvious immediately. When President Trump and Joe Biden first spoke about fracking, Biden said emphatically "I do rule out banning fracking because the answer we need, we need other industries to transition, to get to ultimately a complete zero emissions by 2025. What I will do with fracking over time is make sure that we can capture the emissions from the fracking, capture the emissions from gas. We can do that and we can do that by investing money in doing it, but it's a transition to that."

Shortly thereafter, Biden revisited the issue thanks to a little pushing from President Trump:
Donald Trump: Would you close dow the oil industry?
Joe Biden: By the way, I have a transition from the old industry , yes.

That situation started when President Trump accused Joe Biden of wanting to ban fracking. Biden was upset, saying "I never said that", finally saying "put it on your website." Unfortunately for former Vice President Biden, President Trump tweeted out his proof:


Biden deserved this. He's shot his mouth off about this for months. If he was in a battleground state, he'd shift into his Blue Collar Joe from Scranton, PA persona. If he spoke to activists, he'd be fracking's worst nightmare. Thursday night, President Trump exposed Career Politician Joe, famous for talking out of both sides of his mouth simultaneously.

Thanks to that brief flurry, Joe Biden can start writing his concession speech. That's the night that the lights went out on the Biden campaign. He can kiss Battleground Pennsylvania good bye.

Posted Saturday, October 24, 2020 5:48 AM

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Marc Thiessen: Donald Trump cleaned Joe Biden's clock on racial issues


Marc Thiessen's article is exactly right in saying that President "Trump cleaned Biden's clock on race." If this election was based solely on who's done more to improve the lives of minority communities, President Trump would win with a lopsided margin. Unfortunately, the older black community will vote Democrat out of loyalty for the 1960s Civil Rights Movement. The good news for Republicans is that younger black men don't feel that unity with the Democratic Party.

Thiessen's article continues, saying "Moderator Kristen Welker asked both candidates whether they understood the fears of Black and brown families who worry their children 'could be targeted, including by the police, for no reason other than the color of their skin.' When it was Trump's turn to answer, he said 'Yes, I do' and laid out his record, including opportunity zones to bring investment into struggling Black communities, substantial funding for Historically Black Colleges and Universities, prison reform and criminal justice reform. By contrast, he said, Biden has 'been in government for 47 years. He never did a thing except in 1994 when he did such harm to the Black community' with his crime bill."

Biden's feeble response was rejected in this exchange:
Biden responded by trying to take credit for Trump's success on criminal justice reform, saying "The very law he's talking about is the law that, in fact, initiated by Barack Obama." But Trump kept pressing him on why he and Obama didn't pass it? "You were vice president," Trump said. "You keep talking about all these things you're going to do : but you were there just a short time ago and you guys did nothing."

Why should people think that Biden will get things done when he hasn't done anything in 8 years as the vice president and 36 years as a senator? President Trump had it exactly right when he said of Biden that Joe is "all talk and no action":
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Let me be exceptionally clear about this election. It won't be as close as the 'experts' are predicting. President Trump will win re-election with at least 306 electoral votes. It's possible that President Trump finishes with ~350 electoral votes. If I was making my final prediction today, which I'm not, I'd predict President Trump winning the states he won the first time, then adding New Hampshire, New Mexico and Minnesota. Colorado, Nevada and Virginia would be darkhorse possibilities.

In addition to President Trump winning this fight, President Trump also won on the issue of fracking. Rather, Joe Biden lost on fracking by trying to be all things to all people. Instead of threading the proverbial needle, Biden chose to play Russian Roulette.

Posted Saturday, October 24, 2020 11:30 AM

Comment 1 by Chad Q at 25-Oct-20 08:41 AM
Democrats are going to vote for an old, rich white guy who has been in politics for 47 years; a guy who is exactly the type of candidate they have been railing against for about 12 years; and they will expect "change". Well good luck with that if he's actually elected.

Comment 2 by eric z at 27-Oct-20 12:42 PM
Good observation Chad. Why I backed Bernie. What you are saying Chad, is what the donors in funding both parties believe in 100%. Either way an old rich white guy who is exactly the type of candidate progressives have been railing against for well over twelve years. DWS and Perez at DNC are the ones happy with Joe since they do not want change. Do you think Pelosi wants change? Come on. She's donor owned. Like Feinstein and Graham after the Barrett Senate show. Hugging and kissing.


Today 's GOP Chairwoman rally report


Thank God for Ronna McDaniel's twitter feed . Without the statistics from President Trump's rallies, I'd have nothing but worthless media polls to base my political opinions on. Friday, President Trump made campaign stops in The Villages, FL and Pensacola, FL. According to McDaniel's reports, both rallies added new Trump voters:


President Trump, aka the Executive Branch's Energizer Bunny, isn't slowing down. President Trump has held 2 rallies on Saturday thus far and still plans on holding a third rally tonight. Then it's more rallies in battleground states each day until Election Day. Chairwoman McDaniel is doing a great job running the RNC and getting out these statistics. President Trump is the best presidential campaigner, at least in terms of energy and enthusiastic crowds.

Based on the size of President Trump's rallies and Ronna McDaniel's statistics, it's pretty obvious that the polls are pretty wrong. The sole exception to that is the Trafalgar Group's polling.

Next weekend, expect my predictions post. I want to see a few more days worth of data before making another prediction. This I'll guarantee, though: My predictions likely won't line up with the MSM's predictions.

Posted Saturday, October 24, 2020 5:35 PM

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