They Should Get Out More Often

If this is the best that the so-called elite media can do for analysis, then it's easy to understand why their stocks are dropping like a lead balloon.
President Bush's low approval ratings, the sharp divisions over the war in Iraq, dissatisfaction with Congress, and economic anxiety caused by high gasoline prices and stagnant wages have alienated independent voters, energized the Democratic base and thrown once-safe Republican incumbents on the defensive.
Just once, I'd like to see these idiots use current data. Gas prices have dropped almost 40 cents this month, wages are finally starting to increase and just as many people have anxiety over the possibility of a Speaker Pelosi as they have about a Republican Speaker. Furthermore, if you leave out the moonbat fringe idiots of the Lamont/Deaniac/Kos Kids crowd, there isn't nearly as much division as Mssrs. Broder and Balz would have you believe.

As for this information energizing the Democratic base, I ask "WHO CARES"? It isn't like the Deniac/Lamont/Kos Kidz crowd is a sizeable amount of voters other than in a Democratic primary. Look what following the Kos line has done to John Murtha's re-election chances.

In fact, it's long past time to explode the Kos Kidz myth. We heard how they were going to give Dean a big win in Iowa. Instead, Dean took a beating from which he never recovered. We last heard about how jazzed the Kossacks were about the CA-50 special election. Word was that this was where the 'Culture of Corruption' meme was gonna push Francine Busby over the top against Brian Billbray. The Kossacks worked day and night for Busby but couldn't make it happen. The Kossacks have left that district in such numbers that this November's election won't be close. They've written off CA-50.
As the campaign season begins, Democrats are trying to guard against premature celebration, even as their prospects are brighter than most ever imagined. Republicans are hoping for some outside event that would show the president and their party in a better light, a spate of good news from Iraq, a foiled terrorist plot or an unlikely break in the deadlock over immigration on Capitol Hill.
Frankly, Mssrs. Broder and Balz are missing it entirely on immmigration reform. Just this weekend, I wrote about Rick Santorum's campaign picking up momemtum because he voted against the Senate immigration reform legislation. Broder and Balz are under the impression that McCain and Kennedy are driving this debate. Nothing's further from the truth. The American people are telling their representatives and senators that they want 'border enforcement first' legislation. McCain and Kennedy are actually working against the will of the American people on this. Their's is the minority opinion.

Another thing that Mssrs. Balz and Broder aren't taking into account is that terrorism is a far bigger concern than is the Iraq war. When people hear Democrats like Harry Reid brag that "We killed the Patriot Act" or Russ Feingold saying that the filibustering of the Patriot Act renewal was a "great moment for our Constitution and our democracy and a great moment in the fight against terrorism", people notice and they don't forget the implications of those actions.

The truth is that pundits are sticking with a Washington paradigm instead of a 'Heartland' paradigm, which is a monumental mistake. They get their information from the GIGO beltway instead of reading the Right Blogosphere where they'd hear what the GOP's mainstream activists are thinking. The information they'd be forced to process is strikingly different than the stuff they're digesting now.
Some GOP strategists believe that the terrorism issue has lost some of its potency, in part because of the miscalculations and setbacks suffered by the administration in the Iraq war. One pollster who has surveyed the issue said, "That dog won't hunt again." But Donna Brazile, who managed Al Gore's campaign in 2000, is not so sure: "September 11 shifted something inside the American people, and there are some lingering doubts [about Democrats' stance on terrorism] Republicans know how to exploit."
I don't know which back benchers these guys have been talking to but the only one worth listening to is Mr. Rove. Donna Brazile is exactly right when she says that 9/11 changed things for the average American voter. Check out this proof:
  • "The community really grew together," said sophomore Jacob Frazier. Walker remembers the building shake, a loud noise and a smoky cloud rise from a nearby field following the crash of Flight 93.
  • On Sept. 11, 2001, Kaitelynn Walker was in her sixth-grade gym class. "We immediately began to panic," she said. Parents began filtering into the school to take their children home. "Just seeing (my mother's) face and the seriousness of her expression, I knew something was wrong," said Walker, a junior. "That hit me really hard and I knew it was real."
  • Baker said it took her three years to go to the temporary memorial. "It took me a while to go to the crash site," she said. "The emotions hit you when you go up there. I thought I'd be OK with it."
That doesn't sound like 9/11 has lost any potency. You'll forgive me if I don't pay much attention to these back-bencher GOP strategists. Frankly, I'd trust bloggers' opinions on the state of the campaigns more than I'd trust these unknowns' opinions.
There are three GOP incumbents at risk in Connecticut and four districts in Pennsylvania that could flip in November.
As I said here, Lieberman's loss in the Connecticut primary helps Rob Simmons', Nancy Johnson's and Christopher Shays' chances of getting elected because Connecticut Republican will be turning out to vote for Lieberman in hopes of keeping the lightweight Lamont out of the Senate. Had Lieberman won, more GOP voters would've stayed home.



Posted Sunday, September 3, 2006 3:13 PM

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