October 28-29, 2008

Oct 28 02:04 Wasting Money the Tinklenberg Way
Oct 28 03:40 Just Say No
Oct 28 04:25 The Case Against Obama's Foreign Policy
Oct 28 05:05 Megyn Kelly Embarasses Bill Burton

Oct 29 00:36 STUNNING!!!
Oct 29 04:18 Talk The Vote-- What a Night!!!
Oct 29 11:13 Election Observations
Oct 29 17:48 Rasmussen Reports Dramatic Pro-Coleman Movement

Prior Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Prior Years: 2006 2007



Wasting Money the Tinklenberg Way


El Tinklenberg is telling everyone that he's asking for their votes, that he'll be a moderate voice for the district. What he isn't saying is that he's got a history of wasting money in the jobs he's held before. As Gov. Ventura's Transportation Commissioner, Mr. Tinklenberg wasted thousands of dollars on MnDOT's annual 2 day transportation conference. Here's part of an article published in the Star Tribune January 21, 2003 highlighting Mr. Tinklenberg's wasteful spending habits:
The committees that plan the Minnesota Department of Transportation's annual two-day conferences in Bloomington say they handpick keynote speakers to get "experts in topics relevant" to the agency.

During the past four conventions, MnDOT spent a total of $664,231 more than it recovered from vendors' fees and other income, records show. Keynote speaker

contracts for the four years totaled $114,430.



Some examples from the 2001 conference:
  • $11,650 for a former ski champion's motivational speech.
  • $12,950 for a team-building consultant who talked about ways managers can use fun to revitalize workers.
  • $5,000 for a speech on "Intelligent Risk taking."
Does this information convince you that El Tinklenberg will be a vigilant watchdog of Minnesota's taxpayers? This is utter nonsense. Let's remember that this was when we were heading for a budget deficit of $4.2 billion, the biggest deficit in state history. It wasn't just that he wasted that money on keynote speakers. He 'spread the wealth around' just like Sen. Obama intends to do:
MnDOT has increased its spending on the event by about 61 percent, from $136,173 in 1999 to $219,300 last year, according to records obtained by the Star Tribune under the Minnesota Data Practices Act.

During the past four conventions, MnDOT spent a total of $664,231 more than it recovered from vendors' fees and other income, records show. Keynote speaker contracts for the four years totaled $114,430.
What justification can Mr. Tinklenberg offer for increasing spending on their annual conference by 61% over 4 short years? That's a spending increase of 15% per year. These statistics prove that Mr. Tinklenberg spends other people's money irresponsibly. Is that the type of man we want serving in Washington?

Here's what the Strib reported in January, 2003:
When MnDOT was in a hurry to clean up a site that was to become a maintenance yard for the state's first light-rail line, it put an engineering firm to work without having a binding contract or money in place admittedly violating state law.
That's what corruption looks like. That's the last type of politician we need to send to Washington.
Nonetheless, Kent Allin, an assistant administration commissioner who oversaw the department's contract regulators, warned Fisher of possible trouble on the $3.2 million contract for preliminary design work on light rail. The Minneapolis engineering firm BRW Inc. (now owned by URS Corp. of San Francisco) had the contract; the New York firm Parsons Brinckerhoff Quade & Douglas was a subcontractor.

MnDOT wanted Administration to approve two large amendments that would change the nature of the original contract with BRW and increase its cost ceiling by nearly 75 percent. Such dramatic changes generally require competitive proposals to ensure that taxpayers get the best deal.

But Fisher told his staff that he wanted to get the contract "on the ground ASAP." Noting that Tinklenberg had personally asked him to approve the amendments, he ordered it done.
Mr. Tinklenberg obviously isn't bashful about cutting corners. He didn't think twice about ignoring the checks and balances that the legislature put in place. We don't need someone as ethically challenged as Mr. Tinklenberg in DC.

We need someone that has fought to reform the earmark system. There's only one person who fits that description. Her name is Michele Bachmann. Michele recognized the corruption that's filled the earmark process. Michele wants to make earmarks to be awarded based on merit, not on who'll vote for John Murtha's or Don Young's pet projects.



Posted Tuesday, October 28, 2008 1:14 PM

Comment 1 by Donavon Cawley at 28-Oct-08 12:05 PM
Under Elwyn Tinklenberg, MN-DOT established the Hiawatha Lightrail Line, the Northstar Corridor, overhauled the public transit system in the Twin Cities Metro Area, and vastly improved transportation infrastructure in outstate Minnesota. Michelle Bachmann, on the other hand, has spent two years in the Congress, and the only thing she's accomplished is a bill recognizing Minnesota's 150 years as a state, and spending way too much time making an ass out of herself on cable news channels.

While Tinklenberg's spending on dubious conferences is concerning, it remains clear who will actually get something accomplished in Washington, and it's not Bachmann.

Comment 2 by Gary Gross at 28-Oct-08 12:29 PM
Donavon, Mr. Tinklenberg cut license tab fees, thereby shorting funding for roads & bridges. He's directly responsible for shortchanging road & bridge repair projects.

Mr. Tinklenberg is a spineless wimp who won't fight to protect the taxpayers' wallets.

Comment 3 by anokacountyred at 28-Oct-08 10:40 PM
Bachmann was in the minority and the Democratic leadership wouldn't let her bills get out of committee, unless they benefited the Dems.


Just Say No


After years of wrangling, the DFL-dominated legislature finally passed a bill that puts a constitutional amendment that's supposedly needed to save the environment. Saturday night, I watched Rod Grams and Tom Emmer debate Ellen Anderson and Larry Redmond. What I saw Saturday night was an hysterical Ellen Anderson. Meanwhile, Tom emmer and Rod Grams were a poised team.

Former Sen. Grams looks as poised in this video as he did Saturday night in arguing against the constitutional amendment:



The Vote Yes people like citing a statistic on the MPCA website, which says that 40% of the lakes, rivers and streams tested thus far are polluted. These activists use this statistic for its shock value. The thing that the Vote Yes people won't say during this campaign is that only 846 lakes, rivers and streams have been tested thus far.

That's the PR side of this debate. That's important leading up to the vote. From a policy standpoint and good governance standpoint, though, it's almost irrelevant.

Steve Gottwalt is one of the GOP legislators that 'gets it'. Here's what he recently told me:
Legislators are elected to make funding decisions, not pass them off to the State Constitution. That's not what the Constitution is for! I am an avid hunter and fisherman who loves our outdoors. While many well-meaning outdoors and environmental enthusiasts think this shows support for the outdoors and clean water, it is an $11 billion tax increase over 25 years for a bunch of ill-defined programs. If we truly support our natural resources and outdoor heritage, then we lawmakers should go to St. Paul and approve funding for those purposes.
EXACTLY RIGHT STEVE!!! This isn't that complicated. Legislators should set priorities, then fund the most important things first.

During Saturday night's debate, Sen. Anderson said that funding was inadequate that a rural town couldn't expand their water treatment plant, causing the government to stop the town's planned expansion. She said that that's proof that we need another tax increase.

I'd argue that, if this story is accurate, it's proof that legislators aren't doing their jobs. If legislators won't appropriate money to upgrade that town's water treatment facility so they can continue their expansion, then the legislators who ignored this town's plight should lose their jobs.

Even the Star Tribune gets it right this time:
Moving Minnesota toward a system of constitutional amendments to formulate funding would lock legislators and the governor into budgetary decisions that they are elected, and paid, to make. And with an anticipated recession and the resulting revenue shortfall expected over the next biennium, it will be more important than ever for elected officials to make the tough calls.

If the amendment is successful, it increases the likelihood that other worthy causes will line up to try to circumvent the legislative process and appeal directly for funding. This could result in the kind of government gridlock experienced in states such as California. And it would give elected officials less flexibility to address budgetary challenges in areas such as education and public safety.
Tom Emmer got it right during Saturday night's debate, saying that the problem isn't funding or taxation but rather that the legislature didn't display true political courage in making difficult decisions.

At the end of the day, I expect this proposed constitutional amendment to fail by a fairly sizeable margin. Still, we need to get to the voting booth and guarantee this amendment's failure.



Posted Tuesday, October 28, 2008 3:40 AM

Comment 1 by J. Ewing at 28-Oct-08 09:10 AM
I worked the Taxpayers League booth at the fair, trying to get people's attention on this issue. The line I found most effective was "stop the tax increase, vote No." About 1/3 of the people would actually stop to ask, "What's it for?" To that my reply was, "Does it matter?" 95% agreed it didn't. That's the point here. If the legislature doesn't think it's important enough to spend existing revenue on, then it's not important enough to raise taxes for. There is SOMETHING in that $36Billion budget that is less important than this, and wouldn't be "locked in" like this is.

Comment 2 by Walter hanson at 28-Oct-08 09:20 AM
You know I think the people who want a no vote are missing a great argument.

Barrack Obama has said that the people who make less than $250,000 shouldn't have a single tax increase. It seems like if you're going to vote for Obama you have to vote no to support Obama's position of not doing a tax increase on people making less than $250,000.

Walter Hanson

Minneapolis, MN

Comment 3 by Alfreda Strawder at 29-Oct-08 08:22 AM
This so called ad that I have seen on T.V. is very upsetting and think it's down right wrond because Sen Obama was poor when he was yonger his mother was on food stamps and he really knows about being poor. He knows about paying a light bill and having this cut off. It's Jonh Mcain that has so many houses he can't even remember how many he has so don't say Mr. Obama does not know about being poor!!!

Comment 4 by eric zaetsch at 31-Oct-08 02:27 PM
An interesting post.

First the small town, perhaps the legislators would be best telling them growth is not a right or responsibility, if there's no state money nor enough local money, perhaps stay the size your are, and that might be best.

Where I live, Ramsey, in Anoka County, there was a recent disastrous attempt to grow things the way Met Council's always excessive quotas [they call them projections or forecasts]. An utter failure with a $19 million capital price tag on a new city hall and parking ramp in the middle of nowhere, etc., and there's none of the "more rooftops" tax benefit to civil buildings - they don't pay taxes. Boneheaded leadership is the only explanation. The mayor is NOT running for reelection. And that growth means more rooftops and more income for the community argument - each rooftop comes with a cost, and dense housing costs more for services than any incremental worth it adds.

Aside from that, you have capital spending "dictating" how future money must be spent - servicing and retiring the debt, so it is not alien to our way.

All that said, it seems that earmarking lottery income, auto registration and gas tax income, etc., is unwise if the premise is that ALL income goes into general funds and all disbursements are from general funds, on a regular budget cycle where priorities need to be reevaluated each cycle.

And people come and go at the legislature, yet the capital spending of one generation binds the next, even with tastes and capabilities changing.

It is an imperfect system, where counties with more public lands get subsidies of one amount or another and other demographic balancing is done.

In that context, and when there already has been an effort to earmark revenue from fuel and licensing for roads, this effort is not a bad idea. Did the other commentators support or oppose that road-way special allocation effort when it was on ballot?


The Case Against Obama's Foreign Policy


When I read this article in Haaretz , I was a little stunned. Here's what I read that stunned me:
French President Nicolas Sarkozy is very critical of U.S. presidential candidate Barack Obama's positions on Iran, according to reports that have reached Israel's government.

Sarkozy has made his criticisms only in closed forums in France. But according to a senior Israeli government source, the reports reaching Israel indicate that Sarkozy views the Democratic candidate's stance on Iran as "utterly immature" and comprised of "formulations empty of all content."
This isn't surprising to anyone who paid attention to Sen. Obama's deer-in-the-headlights reaction to Russia's invasion of Georgia. The only thing that makes this stunning is that Sarkozy's critique of Sen. Obama is as negative as it is.
Following their July meeting, Sarkozy repeatedly expressed disappointment with Obama's positions on Iran, concluding that they were "not crystallized, and therefore many issues remain open," the Israeli source said. Advisors to the French president who held separate meetings with Obama's advisors came away with similar impressions and expressed similar disappointment.
Saying that Sen. Obama's policies weren't crystallized is code for saying that he didn't think things through, at least not enough to formulate a coherent policy.

Now Fast Eddie Rendell is trying to convince Pennsylvania voters that John McCain is erratic and that Barack Obama is the steady hand:
Well, Democrat Gov. Ed Rendell, speaking on behalf of the Obama campaign at a news conference, said there's no question who we want handling a crisis and the three presidential debates proved it.

Which candidate was "calm, collected" during the debates?, Rendell asked. Which candidate was "angry, mad and lost his cool on a number of occasions and lashed out"?, the governor asked. "John McCain was the one, I think, that showed erratic behavior," Rendell said.

Wait.

Obama is the better candidate to handle a crisis because he was calm during the debates?
Brad Bumsted notes that Joe Biden opened this up with his "Mark my words" comment:
What was Biden thinking? By opening up the issue of being tested in a crisis he played to McCain's strength. It's the last area Obama wants reopened in the media.

Spinmeister Rendell tried to deflect it by saying it was only common sense and that there's historic precedent for presidents of both parties being tested early in their terms.
There is a precedent of a newly elected president who wasn't tested his first six months in office. That president was Ronald Reagan. At the time, Iran held 52 American hostages for the last 444 days of Jimmy Carter's administration. Approximately 5 minutes after President Reagan was sworn in, the airplane carrying those hostages cleared Iran's airspace.

It isn't coincidence that Ronald Reagan was the oldest president elected. If elected, John McCain would replace President Reagan as the oldest man elected to his first term in office.

There's another historical precedent for this. JFK was young, charismatic and inexperienced when he met with Kruschev. After meeting with JFK, Kruschev was convinced that he could roll JFK. I suspect that Barack Obama would be tested early by Russia and Iran because he's inexperienced and clueless.

Things could get ugly in a hurry.



Posted Tuesday, October 28, 2008 4:26 AM

Comment 1 by DIRKA at 28-Oct-08 07:11 PM
Should't Rod be bailing his son out of jail instead of making commercials?


Megyn Kelly Embarasses Bill Burton


Check out this video of Megyn Kelly's defense of FNC after Obama spinmeister-in chief Bill Burton accused "FNC, the Drudge Report and John McCain" of manufacturing a news story after the audio surfaced of Sen. Obama's 2001 appearance on WBEZ where he talked about redistributing the wealth:



To say that Megyn Kelly is as ferocious in defending FNC against the Obama campaign's charges of bias is understatement. In this video, Bill Burton attempts to best Megyn, who's fast gaining a reputation of being the most no-nonsense interviewer on TV. Mr. Burton was clearly outclassed in this exchanged. Whenever Burton tried sticking with talking points, Kelly discredited his remarks with Obama's own words.

This hasn't been a good couple of weeks in the media for the Obama campaign. Sen. Biden's "Mark my words" speech touched off a firestorm. Obama's exchange with Joe Wurzelbacher has hurt the Obama campaign, too. Things got worse for Team Barry when this new audio surfaced, too.

It hurt them because it re-inforced Obama's image as someone interested in redistribution of wealth policies instead of policies that would simply grow the economy. The McCain campaign is pounding this issue morning, noon and night. They'll hammer on it the rest of the campaign.

As the Gateway Pundit notes , it's having an effect in the polls, too:



Contrary to what the Obama News Networks are reporting, this race isn't over by a long shot.



Posted Tuesday, October 28, 2008 5:06 AM

No comments.


STUNNING!!!


I was just stunned by this headline :
Stocks surge as investors hunt for bargains
Here's one of the paragraphs that jumped off the page for me:
In the final minutes of trading, the Dow rose 709.42, or 8.68 percent, to 8,885.19. The big moves weren't a surprise, given the huge swings stocks have shown in the past six weeks since the bankruptcy filing of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Only two of the 19 trading days in October haven't ended with the Dow up or down by triple digits.
Obviously, this waws written before the final bell rang. Here's the final count :
Dow 9,065.12 +889.35 +10.88%

Nasdaq 1,649.47 +143.57 +9.53%

S&P 500 940.49 +91.57 +10.79
I'm not a stock broker so I don't know the answer to this question so I'll ask that someone far more knowledgeable than me this question: Have there been many times when all 3 indexes gained 10% the same day? I can't imagine that there've been many days like this.

This doesn't mean the economy is back on stable ground. It's just an interesting bit of news.



Posted Wednesday, October 29, 2008 12:38 AM

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Talk The Vote-- What a Night!!!


Tuesday night, I took a roadtrip with King Banaian to the Talk the Vote event. Once there, we were joined by 3,000 of our closest friends at Orchestra Hall in Minneapolis. the event was hosted by AM1280 the Patriot. What a spectacular event!!!

To open the show, Minnesota's congressional candidates were introduced. Barb Davis-White gave a wonderful, strong speech. Michele was at her confident best. Erik Paulsen had a great riff, which would've been the best riff of the night if not for Ed Matthews. To say that the joint was jumping during Ed's stump speech is understatement.

I've heard Candidate Matthews on the Headliners before but Tuesday night, Ed's riff set the tone for the night. Ed's mix of energy and sobriety was impressive. The people of CD-4 would be fortunate to have Mr. Matthews represent them.

After that, Hugh introduced Norm to the audience. I've seen Norm in St. Cloud 3 times thus far and have been impressed with him each time. Tonight, though, was the best I've ever seen him. Norm's public servant heart really shined through. He talked about the need for an "all of the above energy plan", something that went over exceptionally well with the crowd.

About 10 days ago, Norm took a significant hit in the polls. Some people wondered if that hit wouldn't propel Al Franken to victory. While none of the races are open and shut winners (with John Kline's seat being the possible exception), we can't let up. Nonetheless, I'm confident that a corner has been turned and that it's turned in Norm's favor.

Another highlight of the night was Dennis Prager. If you've never seen him in this type of format, you've missed something special. Tonight, Mr. Prager talked about how America used to have two political parties that loved America with all their hearts. He then said that a 1960's counterculture group has taken over one political party, a party of peace activists whose mantra was "Give peace a chance." Mr. Prager's repsonse was moving, saying that peace activists didn't liberate Auschwitz, that it was soldiers that liberated Auschwitz. It's impossible to argue against that thinking.

Dr. Prager said that it's possible to have anti-American views and still be a decent American. I wholeheartedly agree.

On our way back to St. Cloud, we talked about how the Founding Fathers wrote the Constitution to be distinctly un-European. They didn't want the United States to follow Europe's pattern. They wanted the United States to have a distinct personality.

Another important part of Dr. Prager's presentation was explaining the difference between change and improvement. Prager said that the notion of change implies the notion that we were doing things wrong. Improvement simply means that we're finding ways to live life better. This was obviously pointed at the 'Blame America First' crowd.

Next time they hold this type of event, I suspect they'll need something a bit bigger than Orchestra Hall, which was a great venue. The next time an event like this is held, I suspect that we'll need something the size of Mariucci Arena.



Posted Wednesday, October 29, 2008 4:20 AM

No comments.


Election Observations


Captain Ed interviewed John Hinderaker at last night's Talk the Vote event. Here's the video of that event:





I think John's right about Norm and Michele. I see them both winning, norm by 5-6 points, Michele by a slightly smaller margin. John makes a totally valid point, saying that Michele has been taught a valuable lesson.

As far as McCain winning this state, I don't know if he'll get Minnesota's 10 EV's but I'll say this: If Obama doesn't stem the bleeding, I think he'll lose next Tuesday. His Joe the Plumber gaffe has cost him lots of votes in the battleground states. The audiotape of his WBEZ interview from 2001 only amplifies Sen. Obama's redistributionist tendencies.

What's significant about the audiotape is that it appeared right when the Joe the Plumber meme might've started losing some of its punch. The minute people started listening to that interview was the minute that the Joe the Plumber meme got recharged.

What's causing more hemorrhaging is their shifting of what I call the '$250,000 mantra'. Prior to this week, the Obama mantra was that 95% of Americans would get a tax cut and that "people making less than $250,000 would get a tax cut." That abruptly changed this week. Sen. Obama said that people making $200,000 or less would get a tax cut. Later, Sen. Biden said anyone making $150,000 or less would get a tax cut.

What makes this important is that each downward shift means fewer people will get a tax cut. There's lots of votes to be had with people making less than $250,000. The minute that changes to people making less than $200,000, people making $200K have one less reason to vote for Sen. Obama. The minute that changes to people making less than $150,000, people in that income bracket have another reason to not vote for Sen. Obama.

I don't have the statistics but I'm betting that the group of people making $150,000-$200,000 is significantly bigger than the group making $200,000-$250,000.

It's also important to note that the vast majority of people making that much money are capitalists, not redistributionists. I can't deny that there are redistributionists making $150,000-$250,000. I'm merely suggesting that they're the exception, not the rule.

If that trend continues, the McCain-Palin ticket will be the beneficiaries. This morning's polling shows the race tightening, suggesting that the momentum is on McCain's side. What will happen over the last 6 days is impossible to know. You can't overlook the fact that Obama is still leading. Still, there's reason for McCain supporters to feel energized.

I'd say there's about 150,000 reasons to feel energized.



Posted Wednesday, October 29, 2008 11:15 AM

Comment 1 by Walter hanson at 29-Oct-08 11:30 PM
Gary:

One other thing. There are a lot of people who make less than $150,000 and dream of making more money. They understand that when they work their butt off they will be taxed to death even more than think they deserve. And there are I think far more of those voters who will switch for Mccain and other Republicans. That's why Paulsen is now winning when he was losing a couple of weeks ago for example.

Walter Hanson

Minneapolis, MN

Comment 2 by Freealonzo at 30-Oct-08 10:11 AM
"If Obama doesn't stem the bleeding, I think he'll lose next Tuesday. "

Colorado - O+9

Florida - O+5

N. Hampshire - O+24

Nevada - O+5

Ohio - +7

PA - O+12

Virginia - O+13

You're right, I don't know how much more bleeding BHO can stand!

Look at it another way, Obama is closer in Texas than McCain is closer in PA.


Rasmussen Reports Dramatic Pro-Coleman Movement


According to this Rasmussen Reports article , Rasmussen's polling is showing a distinct pro-coleman trend:
Coming off what many view as his strongest debate performance of the campaign last Thursday, Coleman leads Franken 43% to 39% in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.

Independent candidate Dean Barkley is favored by 14%. Four percent (4%) remain undecided.

Coleman's lead is within the margin of error and the race has additional uncertainty due to the presence of a solid third party candidate.

A week ago Franken had a four-point lead, 41% to 37%, and Barkley, the wild card in the race, registered 17% support. The lead has gone back and forth between the two major party candidates since July, but the comedy writer and longtime Democratic activist has been ahead in all surveys in October.
That's an 8 point swing in just a week. Franken's support dropped by 2 points. During that same timeframe, Sen. Coleman's support has jumped 6 points. I suspect that much of Sen. Coleman's increased support is a result of him 'going positive' with his advertising.
But the latest survey, taken Tuesday night, shows Coleman solidifying his GOP base by taking votes from Barkley and also pulling Democratic votes away from Franken. In between the two surveys, the Republican, who is seeking a second term in the Senate, also picked up a surprise endorsement from the state's leading newspaper, the Minneapolis Star-Tribune.
The Strib denying Al Franken their endorsement has hurt Franken. While it's wrong to say that this swing was caused by the Strib's endorsement of Sen. Coleman, the truth is that Sen. Coleman's campaign event have rallied voters. I've been to at least 4 of Sen. Coleman's events, including one this afternoon. Each event has been stronger than the previous one. Norm got a couple standing ovations at last night's Talk the Vote event.

Today's event was the raucus event that last night's event was but applause for Sen. Coleman was still strong today.

I'd be remiss to not talk about Norm's closing argument. He's brilliant in working in this question: How can you tell if someone will fight for you in Washington, DC? His answer cuts to the heart of the matter: Because he's already fought for you. I'm convinced that people are making a final decision and they're noticing that Al Franken talks alot but that he hasn't done anything for Minnesotans.

That's a stark contrast from Sen. Coleman. That's finally sinking in. That's why I expect Sen Coleman to win Tuesday.



Posted Wednesday, October 29, 2008 5:49 PM

Comment 1 by walter hanson at 29-Oct-08 07:13 PM
I think it's because the public knows that Coleman has went positive and more important with the tone of one of his commercials shows we have serious problems and he wants to attack them.

All Franken has been offering Coleamn is bad and doesn't deserve to be Senator. That's why he's losing.

Walter Hanson

Minneapolis, MN

Comment 2 by Gary Gross at 29-Oct-08 08:17 PM
In other words, you can't beat something with nothing. I agree.

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