Time Running Out for Republicans
So says Carl Leubsdorf in
this article. Here's a review of his logic:
If Americans think that Democrats aren't serious about enforcement of our borders, doesn't that translate into more troubles for them than Republicans? Mr. Leubsdorf is onto something worth considering, though:
The truth is that Democrats aren't in nearly as good of shape as they're being given credit for. It's equally true that Republicans aren't in nearly as dire straits as the Agenda Media tell us daily.
Posted Thursday, August 3, 2006 11:53 AM
July 2006 Posts
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Polls show negative attitudes are hardening on key factors that will shape the November landscape: public approval of Mr. Bush and the GOP-controlled Congress; the Iraq war; and the country's direction.Let's take these one at a time, starting with public approval. While President Bush's approval ratings are low, it doesn't automatically correlate into votes for Democrats. The truth is that some of the dissatisfaction is that America isn't conservative enough. That's part of the explanation of the right track-wrong track figure. As I've said numerous times, generic ballot and the right-track-wrong track polling are almost useless in predicting elctions.
Republicans plan this month to renew their stress on the need to strengthen border security. But there's little sign lawmakers will be able to pass meaningful immigration measures before the election.I don't know why this is a negative, especially with vast majorities of Americans wanting an enforcement-first immigration reform. The American public understands that Democrats and moderate Republicans would write what amounts to an open borders immigration reform bill. It's clear that that isn't where the American public is.
If Americans think that Democrats aren't serious about enforcement of our borders, doesn't that translate into more troubles for them than Republicans? Mr. Leubsdorf is onto something worth considering, though:
Neutral analysts note that the GOP has shown in recent elections a remarkable ability to turn out its vote, and expect a similar effort this year. The question is whether that effort will be equally successful in a year in which the political landscape is far less friendly to the GOP than in both 2002 and 2004.I've written before about the GOP's GOTV operations. I'm willing to predict that that will be a decisive factor in this fall's elections. If you don't get your voters to the booth, you're in trouble. Leubsdorf's observation ties into Jim VandeHei's article.
The truth is that Democrats aren't in nearly as good of shape as they're being given credit for. It's equally true that Republicans aren't in nearly as dire straits as the Agenda Media tell us daily.
Posted Thursday, August 3, 2006 11:53 AM
July 2006 Posts
No comments.
