Monthly AP-Ipsos Propaganda

Our favorite propaganda distributor is at it again. AP-Ipsos has released more propaganda shabbily masquerading as a poll . Let's get to the latest DNC propaganda:
President Bush's approval ratings hit a series of new lows in an AP-Ipsos poll that also shows Republicans surrendering their advantage on national security, grim election-year news for a party struggling to stay in power. Democratic leaders predicted they will seize control of one or both chambers of Congress in November.
WOW!!! They're really consistent in this "Republicans can't be trusted with national security" meme, aren't they? Does any rational person take this BS seriously? If that's what Democrats are staking their election success on, they're in for another big disappointment this fall.

Notice how silent Democrats have been on national security 'plans'. This poll assumes that people like John Murtha won't make more boneheaded statements, an assumption I'm unwilling to make. It's a fool's errand to think that Democrats won't say extremely stupid things, especially about national security.

Those advantages are gone, according to a survey of 1,003 adults conducted this week for The Associated Press by Ipsos, an international polling firm.
    Just 36 percent of the public approves of Bush's job performance, his lowest-ever rating in AP-Ipsos polling. By contrast, the president's job approval rating was 47 percent among likely voters just before Election Day 2004 and a whopping 64 percent among registered voters in October 2002.

    Only 40 percent of the public approves of Bush's performance on foreign policy and the war on terror, another low-water mark for his presidency. That's down 9 points from a year ago. Just before the 2002 election, 64 percent of registered voters backed Bush on terror and foreign policy.

    Just 35 percent of the public approves of Bush's handling of Iraq, his lowest in AP-Ipsos polling.
Of course, these are results from over-polling Bush-hating liberals. And we're to take this seriously? I think not.
"He's in over his head," said Diane Heller, 65, a Pleasant Valley, N.Y., real estate broker and independent voter. As bad as Bush's numbers may be, Congress' are worse. Just 30 percent of the public approves of the GOP-led Congress' job performance, and Republicans seem to be shouldering the blame.
A NY liberal says he's in over his head. That's Gospel as far as I'm concerned. Etch it in stone.

As for Congress' approval rating, I question whether it translates into Democratic votes. I'd doubt it because I think Republicans are legitimately upset with the President but they aren't so upset that they'll vote for a Bush-hating liberal.
"We're in an exceptionally challenging electoral environment," said Rep. Tom Cole of Oklahoma, a former GOP strategist. "We start off on a battlefield today that is tilted in their direction, and that's when you have to use the advantages you have." Those include the presidential "bully pulpit" and the "structural, tactical advantages" built into the system, Cole said.
Representative Cole would be well-advised to start with the structural advantages and work outward from there. I wish I could find it but I read an article about a month ago that talked about the House open seats left from Republicans retiring. If I recall correctly, two thirds of those seats are districts that Bush carried with 65+ percent of the vote. Does anyone think that Democrats have a shot at a single one of those seats? That means that Democrats would have to knock off a bunch of incumbents in gerrymandered districts. That ain't gonna happen.

Another advantage is that the GOP is flowing with cash, which is a huge advantage.

Finally, let's remember yesterday's Washington Post article on how scared Maryland Democrats are at Michael Steele's ability to attract black voters into voting Republican. If the GOP wins Minnesota and Maryland, something that's quite doable, that means that Democrats would have to net 8 seats the rest of the way to take control of the Senate. The likelihood of that happening are a bit less than slim and not much more than none.
"I think we will win the Congress," Democratic Party chairman Howard Dean said, breaking the unwritten rule against raising expectations. "Everything is moving in our direction. If it keeps moving in our direction, it's very reasonable to say there will be a Democratic Senate and House," said Sen. Chuck Schumer of New York, the chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
What propaganda article would be complete without Howie 'The Scream' Dean and Little Chuckie Schumer weighing in?

For all the propaganda in this AP article, nothing's really changed. Republicans will still control both houses of Congress when the dust settles the first Wednesday in November.

Take that to the bank.

Cross-posted at California Conservative

Posted Friday, April 7, 2006 6:45 AM

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